Event odds table
Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026? — live odds
18 outcomes$1.3M traded$406K · 24hresolves by August 4, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026? odds: 240-259 leads the field at 36% implied probability, ahead of 220-239 (23%) and 260-279 (21%). All 18 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.3M traded ($406K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
240-259 36%
implied probability (36¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 18
1240-259
36%36¢ · $31K 24h2220-239
23%23¢ · $30K 24h3260-279
21%21¢ · $28K 24h4280-299
9%9¢ · $27K 24h5200-219
6%6¢ · $49K 24h6300-319
3%3¢ · $33K 24h7320-339
1%1¢ · $39K 24h8180-199
0%0¢ · $60K 24h9340-359
0%0¢ · $32K 24h10360-379
0%0¢ · $36K 24h11160-179
0%0¢ · $14K 24h12400-419
0%0¢ · $5K 24h13380-399
0%0¢ · $22K 24h14500+
0%0¢ · — 24h15420-439
0%0¢ · — 24h16480-499
—— · — 24h17460-479
—— · — 24h18440-459
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026??
- The market currently favors "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?" at 36% implied probability (YES trading at 36¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026??
- $1.3M has been traded across 18 outcome markets, $406K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 4, 2026.
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