Event odds table

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? — live odds
20 outcomes$1.5M traded$518K · 24hresolves by August 7, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? odds: 180-199 leads the field at 44% implied probability, ahead of 200-219 (27%) and 160-179 (19%). All 20 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.5M traded ($518K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 7, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
180-199 44%
implied probability (44¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 20
1180-199
44%44¢ · $32K 24h2200-219
27%27¢ · $37K 24h3160-179
19%19¢ · $61K 24h4220-239
9%9¢ · $24K 24h5240-259
2%2¢ · $41K 24h6140-159
1%1¢ · $95K 24h7260-279
1%1¢ · $43K 24h8280-299
0%0¢ · $27K 24h9120-139
0%0¢ · $91K 24h10320-339
0%0¢ · $23K 24h11300-319
0%0¢ · $43K 24h12500+
0%0¢ · — 24h13360-379
0%0¢ · $724 24h14400-419
0%0¢ · — 24h15380-399
0%0¢ · — 24h16340-359
0%0¢ · $6 24h17420-439
0%0¢ · — 24h18440-459
—— · — 24h19460-479
—— · — 24h20480-499
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026??
- The market currently favors "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?" at 44% implied probability (YES trading at 44¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026??
- $1.5M has been traded across 20 outcome markets, $518K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 7, 2026.