Event odds table
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026? — live odds
30 outcomes$1.4M traded$477K · 24hresolves by November 17, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026? odds: 260-279 leads the field at 25% implied probability, ahead of 280-299 (21%) and 300-319 (14%). All 30 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.4M traded ($477K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 17, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
260-279 25%
implied probability (25¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 30
1260-279
25%25¢ · $18K 24h2280-299
21%21¢ · $11K 24h3300-319
14%14¢ · $12K 24h4240-259
14%14¢ · $17K 24h5220-239
7%7¢ · $23K 24h6320-339
7%7¢ · $12K 24h7200-219
2%2¢ · $36K 24h8360-379
2%2¢ · $12K 24h9180-199
1%1¢ · $40K 24h10400-419
1%1¢ · $7K 24h11460-479
0%0¢ · $6K 24h12480-499
0%0¢ · $13K 24h1360-79
0%0¢ · $12K 24h14160-179
0%0¢ · $86K 24h15120-139
0%0¢ · $37K 24h1680-99
0%0¢ · $9K 24h17140-159
0%0¢ · $38K 24h18100-119
0%0¢ · $25K 24h1940-59
0%0¢ · $7K 24h20440-459
—— · $6K 24h21340-359
—— · $12K 24h22420-439
—— · $5K 24h23500-519
—— · $1K 24h24380-399
—— · $7K 24h25580+
—— · $2K 24h260-19
—— · $14K 24h2720-39
—— · $10K 24h28520-539
—— · — 24h29540-559
—— · — 24h30560-579
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026??
- The market currently favors 260-279 at 25% implied probability (YES trading at 25¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026??
- $1.4M has been traded across 30 outcome markets, $477K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 17, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 30 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
