Event odds table

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026? — live odds
16 outcomes$1.8M traded$932K · 24hresolves by October 23, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026? odds: 260-279 leads the field at 37% implied probability, ahead of 280-299 (31%) and 300-319 (14%). All 16 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.8M traded ($932K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 23, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
260-279 37%
implied probability (37¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 16
1260-279
37%37¢ · $51K 24h2280-299
31%31¢ · $46K 24h3300-319
14%14¢ · $54K 24h4240-259
10%10¢ · $87K 24h5320-339
5%5¢ · $47K 24h6340-359
1%1¢ · $64K 24h7360-379
0%0¢ · $83K 24h8220-239
0%0¢ · $158K 24h9380-399
0%0¢ · $80K 24h10400-419
0%0¢ · $58K 24h11200-219
0%0¢ · $137K 24h12420-439
0%0¢ · $32K 24h13500+
0%0¢ · $6K 24h14440-459
0%0¢ · $13K 24h15460-479
0%0¢ · $15K 24h16480-499
0%0¢ · $1K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026??
- The market currently favors 260-279 at 37% implied probability (YES trading at 37¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026??
- $1.8M has been traded across 16 outcome markets, $932K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 23, 2026.