Event odds table

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? — live odds
12 outcomes$1.6M traded$617K · 24hresolves by October 16, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? odds: 320-339 leads the field at 40% implied probability, ahead of 300-319 (25%) and 340-359 (23%). All 12 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($617K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 16, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
320-339 40%
implied probability (40¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 12
1320-339
40%40¢ · $45K 24h2300-319
25%25¢ · $77K 24h3340-359
23%23¢ · $45K 24h4360-379
7%7¢ · $49K 24h5280-299
3%3¢ · $125K 24h6380-399
2%2¢ · $53K 24h7400-419
1%1¢ · $54K 24h8420-439
0%0¢ · $50K 24h9500+
0%0¢ · $24K 24h10440-459
0%0¢ · $49K 24h11460-479
0%0¢ · $34K 24h12480-499
0%0¢ · $13K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026??
- The market currently favors 320-339 at 40% implied probability (YES trading at 40¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026??
- $1.6M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $617K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 16, 2026.