Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in January??

The market currently favors re be no change in Fed interest rate at 73% implied probability (YES trading at 73¢).

How much has been traded on Fed Decision in January??

$1.1M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $16K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 28, 2027.

Event odds table

Fed Decision in January? — live odds

5 outcomes$1.1M traded$16K · 24hresolves by January 28, 2027

Live Fed Decision in January? odds: re be no change in Fed interest rate leads the field at 73% implied probability, ahead of Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp (25%) and Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bp (2%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.1M traded ($16K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 28, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

re be no change in Fed interest rate 73%

implied probability (73¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1re be no change in Fed interest rate

73%73¢ · $5K 24h 2Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp

25%25¢ · $5K 24h 3Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bp

2%2¢ · $5K 24h 4Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bp

1%1¢ · $330 24h 5Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bp

1%1¢ · $738 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in January??: The market currently favors re be no change in Fed interest rate at 73% implied probability (YES trading at 73¢).
How much has been traded on Fed Decision in January??: $1.1M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $16K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 28, 2027.

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