What is the most active fed, rates & macro odds market right now?

"Fed rate hike in 2026?" leads today's trading with $248K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 72¢ (72% implied probability).

How much is traded on fed, rates & macro odds?

The 200 markets tracked here traded $1.6M in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Fed rate hike in 2026?", has $8.7M in lifetime volume.

How do these odds work?

Each price is a probability: a market trading at 72¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 72% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.

Fed, Rates & Macro Odds — Live Prediction Markets

Fed, Rates & Macro Odds

200 markets$1.6M · 24h on this page

Live macro prediction markets — Fed decisions, rate moves, and economic outcomes as implied probabilities.

Sort

Fed rate hike in 2026?

72%

YES 72¢ · NO 28¢$8.7M

Financeresolves Dec 9, 2026

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

93%

YES 93¢ · NO 7¢$8.1M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$5.3M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$4.9M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$4.3M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$4.1M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$3.9M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$3.3M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$3.3M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$3.0M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

YES 8¢ · NO 93¢$2.9M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$2.9M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$2.9M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$2.8M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$2.6M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

US recession by end of 2026?

YES 7¢ · NO 94¢$1.7M

Financeresolves Jan 31, 2027

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

50%

YES 50¢ · NO 51¢$1.3M

Financeresolves Dec 9, 2026

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

11%

YES 11¢ · NO 90¢$1.1M

Financeresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

YES 6¢ · NO 95¢$753K

Financeresolves Jul 1, 2027

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

90%

YES 90¢ · NO 10¢$642K

Financeresolves Jul 1, 2027

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

62%

YES 62¢ · NO 39¢$617K

Financeresolves Dec 9, 2026

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

96%

YES 96¢ · NO 5¢$549K

Financeresolves Jul 1, 2027

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

92%

YES 92¢ · NO 8¢$535K

Financeresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$527K

Financeresolves Jan 1, 2027

Today in Fed, Rates & Macro Odds

Most active todayFed rate hike in 2026?72¢ · $248K · 24h Resolving nextWill the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?1¢ · resolves September 10, 2026 Biggest marketFed rate hike in 2026?72¢ · $8.7M all-time

Fed, Rates & Macro Odds — common questions

What is the most active fed, rates & macro odds market right now?: "Fed rate hike in 2026?" leads today's trading with $248K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 72¢ (72% implied probability).
How much is traded on fed, rates & macro odds?: The 200 markets tracked here traded $1.6M in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Fed rate hike in 2026?", has $8.7M in lifetime volume.
How do these odds work?: Each price is a probability: a market trading at 72¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 72% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.