Fed, Rates & Macro Odds
Fed, Rates & Macro Odds
Live macro prediction markets — Fed decisions, rate moves, and economic outcomes as implied probabilities.
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
82%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
66%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
15%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
11%
US recession by end of 2026?
13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
78%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
33%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
18%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
9%
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
1%
Today in Fed, Rates & Macro Odds
Fed, Rates & Macro Odds — common questions
- What is the most active fed, rates & macro odds market right now?
- "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?" leads today's trading with $85K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 33¢ (33% implied probability).
- How much is traded on fed, rates & macro odds?
- The 200 markets tracked here traded $987K in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", has $6.3M in lifetime volume.
- How do these odds work?
- Each price is a probability: a market trading at 33¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 33% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.