Event odds table

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..? — live odds
2 outcomes$273K traded$2K · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026
Live Foreign intervention in Gaza by..? odds: December 31 leads the field at 28% implied probability, ahead of September 30 (6%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $273K traded ($2K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
December 31 28%
implied probability (28¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Foreign intervention in Gaza by..??
- The market currently favors December 31 at 28% implied probability (YES trading at 28¢).
- How much has been traded on Foreign intervention in Gaza by..??
- $273K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.