Event odds table
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...? — live odds
2 outcomes$219K traded$1K · 24hresolves by November 16, 2026
Live France declares state of siege (martial law) by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 4% implied probability, ahead of November 15 (1%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $219K traded ($1K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 16, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
December 31 4%
implied probability (3¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for France declares state of siege (martial law) by...??
- The market currently favors December 31 at 4% implied probability (YES trading at 3¢).
- How much has been traded on France declares state of siege (martial law) by...??
- $219K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 16, 2026.
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