Which outcome is favored for Gemini 4.0 released by...??

The market currently favors September 30 at 35% implied probability (YES trading at 35¢).

How much has been traded on Gemini 4.0 released by...??

$178K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $21K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Gemini 4.0 released by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$178K traded$21K · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026

Live Gemini 4.0 released by...? odds: September 30 leads the field at 35% implied probability. All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $178K traded ($21K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

September 30 35%

implied probability (35¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

1September 30

35%35¢ · $21K 24h 2November 30

—— · $158 24h 3October 31

—— · $187 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Gemini 4.0 released by...??: The market currently favors September 30 at 35% implied probability (YES trading at 35¢).
How much has been traded on Gemini 4.0 released by...??: $178K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $21K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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