Which outcome is favored for How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026??

The market currently favors Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? at 84% implied probability (YES trading at 84¢).

How much has been traded on How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026??

$5.3M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $913 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? — live odds

12 outcomes$5.3M traded$913 · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? odds: Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? leads the field at 84% implied probability, ahead of Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? (9%) and Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? (5%). All 12 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $5.3M traded ($913 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? 84%

implied probability (84¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 12

Full market details →

1Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

84%84¢ · $643 24h 2Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?

9%9¢ · — 24h 3Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

5%5¢ · $14 24h 4Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?

1%1¢ · — 24h 5Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?

1%1¢ · — 24h 6Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?

1%1¢ · — 24h 7Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?

0%0¢ · — 24h 8Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?

0%0¢ · $220 24h 9Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?

0%0¢ · $36 24h 10Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?

0%0¢ · — 24h 11Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?

0%0¢ · — 24h 12Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?

0%0¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026??: The market currently favors Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? at 84% implied probability (YES trading at 84¢).
How much has been traded on How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026??: $5.3M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $913 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

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