Event odds table
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — live odds
13 outcomes$50.8M traded$222K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
Live How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? odds: no Fed rate cuts leads the field at 89% implied probability, ahead of 1 Fed rate cut (8%) and 2 Fed rate cuts (3%). All 13 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $50.8M traded ($222K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
no Fed rate cuts 89%
implied probability (89¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 13
1no Fed rate cuts
89%89¢ · $28K 24h21 Fed rate cut
8%8¢ · $20K 24h32 Fed rate cuts
3%3¢ · $44K 24h43 Fed rate cuts
1%1¢ · $30K 24h54 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $2K 24h67 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $1K 24h75 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $8K 24h86 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $421 24h912 or more Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $86K 24h108 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $618 24h119 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $71 24h1211 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $81 24h1310 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $95 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- The market currently favors no Fed rate cuts at 89% implied probability (YES trading at 89¢).
- How much has been traded on How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- $50.8M has been traded across 13 outcome markets, $222K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 13 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
