Event odds table
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — live odds
13 outcomes$54.5M traded$165K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027
Live How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? odds: no Fed rate cuts leads the field at 97% implied probability, ahead of 1 Fed rate cut (1%) and 2 Fed rate cuts (1%). All 13 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $54.5M traded ($165K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
no Fed rate cuts 97%
implied probability (97¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 13
1no Fed rate cuts
97%97¢ · $10K 24h21 Fed rate cut
1%1¢ · $15K 24h32 Fed rate cuts
1%1¢ · $4K 24h44 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $4K 24h53 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $5K 24h611 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $10K 24h710 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $10K 24h89 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · — 24h96 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $5K 24h1012 or more Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $76K 24h117 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $6K 24h128 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $10K 24h135 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $10K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- The market currently favors no Fed rate cuts at 97% implied probability (YES trading at 97¢).
- How much has been traded on How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- $54.5M has been traded across 13 outcome markets, $165K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 13 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
