Which outcome is favored for Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...??

The market currently favors Decem at 6% implied probability (YES trading at 6¢).

How much has been traded on Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...??

$2.2M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $13K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$2.2M traded$13K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026

Live Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? odds: Decem leads the field at 6% implied probability. All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.2M traded ($13K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Decem 6%

implied probability (6¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1Decem

6%6¢ · $11K 24h 2Octo

—— · $1K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...??: The market currently favors Decem at 6% implied probability (YES trading at 6¢).
How much has been traded on Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...??: $2.2M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $13K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

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