Which outcome is favored for Iran charges Hormuz fees by...??

The market currently favors December 31 at 50% implied probability (YES trading at 50¢).

How much has been traded on Iran charges Hormuz fees by...??

$1.2M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $35K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.

Event odds table

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? — live odds

4 outcomes$1.2M traded$35K · 24hresolves by August 31, 2026

Live Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 50% implied probability, ahead of October 31 (37%) and August 31 (10%). All 4 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.2M traded ($35K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 50%

implied probability (50¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 4

Full market details →

1December 31

50%50¢ · $727 24h 2October 31

37%37¢ · $2K 24h 3August 31

10%10¢ · $32K 24h 4September 30

—— · $106 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Iran charges Hormuz fees by...??: The market currently favors December 31 at 50% implied probability (YES trading at 50¢).
How much has been traded on Iran charges Hormuz fees by...??: $1.2M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $35K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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