Which outcome is favored for Iran full airspace closure by...??

The market currently favors December 31 at 38% implied probability (YES trading at 38¢).

How much has been traded on Iran full airspace closure by...??

$959K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $29K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Iran full airspace closure by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$959K traded$29K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026

Live Iran full airspace closure by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 38% implied probability, ahead of October 31, 2026 (9%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $959K traded ($29K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 38%

implied probability (38¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1December 31

38%38¢ · $14K 24h 2October 31, 2026

9%9¢ · $14K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Iran full airspace closure by...??: The market currently favors December 31 at 38% implied probability (YES trading at 38¢).
How much has been traded on Iran full airspace closure by...??: $959K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $29K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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