Which outcome is favored for Iran full airspace closure by...??

The market currently favors December 31 at 30% implied probability (YES trading at 30¢).

How much has been traded on Iran full airspace closure by...??

$974K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $22K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Iran full airspace closure by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$974K traded$22K · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026

Live Iran full airspace closure by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 30% implied probability, ahead of September 30 (10%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $974K traded ($22K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 30%

implied probability (30¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1December 31

30%30¢ · $3K 24h 2September 30

10%10¢ · $19K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Iran full airspace closure by...??: The market currently favors December 31 at 30% implied probability (YES trading at 30¢).
How much has been traded on Iran full airspace closure by...??: $974K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $22K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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