Event odds table

Iran leader end of 2026? — live odds

30 outcomes$33.0M traded$454K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

1Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s

76%76¢ · $309K 24h 2there be no Head of S

5%5¢ · $1K 24h 3Reza Pahlavi be head of s

4%4¢ · $24K 24h 4Ahmad Vahidi be head of s

3%3¢ · $24K 24h 5Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of s

2%2¢ · $67 24h 6Alireza Arafi be head of s

1%1¢ · $24K 24h 7Abbas Araghchi be head of s

1%1¢ · $23K 24h 8Masoud Pezeshkian be head of s

1%1¢ · $229 24h 9Hassan Rouhani be head of s

1%1¢ · $23K 24h 10Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of s

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 11Mohammad Khatami be head of s

0%0¢ · $7K 24h 12Hassan Khomeini be head of s

0%0¢ · $200 24h 13Sadegh Larijani be head of s

0%0¢ · $747 24h 14Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of s

0%0¢ · $503 24h 15Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of s

0%0¢ · $771 24h 16Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of s

0%0¢ · $702 24h 17Hassan Shariatmadari be head of s

0%0¢ · $710 24h 18Ali Motahari be head of s

0%0¢ · $4K 24h 19Maryam Rajavi be head of s

0%0¢ · $819 24h 20Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of s

0%0¢ · $782 24h 21Massoud Rajavi be head of s

0%0¢ · $938 24h 22Saeed Jalili be head of s

0%0¢ · $703 24h 23Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of s

0%0¢ · $500 24h 24Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of s

0%0¢ · $500 24h 25Mohsen Araki be head of s

0%0¢ · $887 24h 26Nasir Hosseini be head of s

0%0¢ · $500 24h 27Sadegh Mahsouli be head of s

0%0¢ · $705 24h 28Navid Shomali be head of s

0%0¢ · $790 24h 29Mustafa Hijri be head of s

0%0¢ · $776 24h 30Reza Pirzadeh be head of s

0%0¢ · $754 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Iran leader end of 2026??: The market currently favors "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" at 76% implied probability (YES trading at 76¢).
How much has been traded on Iran leader end of 2026??: $33.0M has been traded across 30 outcome markets, $454K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 30 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.