Which outcome is favored for Iran leader end of 2026??

The market currently favors Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s at 84% implied probability (YES trading at 84¢).

How much has been traded on Iran leader end of 2026??

$39.0M has been traded across 30 outcome markets, $77K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Event odds table

Iran leader end of 2026? — live odds

30 outcomes$39.0M traded$77K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

Live Iran leader end of 2026? odds: Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s leads the field at 84% implied probability, ahead of there be no Head of S (5%) and Reza Pahlavi be head of s (4%). All 30 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $39.0M traded ($77K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s 84%

implied probability (84¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 30

Full market details →

1Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s

84%84¢ · $43K 24h 2there be no Head of S

5%5¢ · $609 24h 3Reza Pahlavi be head of s

4%3¢ · $416 24h 4Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of s

2%2¢ · $274 24h 5Alireza Arafi be head of s

1%1¢ · $481 24h 6Ahmad Vahidi be head of s

1%1¢ · $274 24h 7Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of s

1%1¢ · $274 24h 8Masoud Pezeshkian be head of s

1%1¢ · $275 24h 9Hassan Rouhani be head of s

1%1¢ · $274 24h 10Hassan Khomeini be head of s

0%0¢ · $947 24h 11Abbas Araghchi be head of s

0%0¢ · $274 24h 12Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of s

0%0¢ · $274 24h 13Sadegh Larijani be head of s

0%0¢ · $274 24h 14Mohammad Khatami be head of s

0%0¢ · $274 24h 15Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of s

0%0¢ · — 24h 16Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of s

0%0¢ · $4K 24h 17Hassan Shariatmadari be head of s

0%0¢ · $529 24h 18Ali Motahari be head of s

0%0¢ · $274 24h 19Maryam Rajavi be head of s

0%0¢ · $5K 24h 20Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of s

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 21Massoud Rajavi be head of s

0%0¢ · $529 24h 22Saeed Jalili be head of s

0%0¢ · $529 24h 23Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of s

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 24Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of s

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 25Mohsen Araki be head of s

0%0¢ · $529 24h 26Nasir Hosseini be head of s

0%0¢ · $274 24h 27Sadegh Mahsouli be head of s

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 28Navid Shomali be head of s

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 29Mustafa Hijri be head of s

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 30Reza Pirzadeh be head of s

0%0¢ · $529 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Iran leader end of 2026??: The market currently favors Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s at 84% implied probability (YES trading at 84¢).
How much has been traded on Iran leader end of 2026??: $39.0M has been traded across 30 outcome markets, $77K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

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