Event odds table

Iran leader end of 2026? — live odds

30 outcomes$40.0M traded$13K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

Live Iran leader end of 2026? odds: Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s leads the field at 87% implied probability, ahead of there be no Head of S (5%) and Reza Pahlavi be head of s (3%). All 30 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $40.0M traded ($13K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s 87%

implied probability (87¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 30

Full market details →
1Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s87%87¢ · $7K 24h2there be no Head of S5%4¢ · $977 24h3Reza Pahlavi be head of s3%3¢ · $3K 24h4Alireza Arafi be head of s2%2¢ · $50 24h5Hassan Rouhani be head of s1%1¢ · $70 24h6Masoud Pezeshkian be head of s0%0¢ · $227 24h7Abbas Araghchi be head of s0%0¢ · $127 24h8Ahmad Vahidi be head of s0%0¢ · $28 24h9Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of s0%0¢ · $51 24h10Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of s0%0¢ · $70 24h11Mohammad Khatami be head of s0%0¢ · $70 24h12Hassan Khomeini be head of s0%0¢ · $335 24h13Maryam Rajavi be head of s0%0¢ · $80 24h14Sadegh Larijani be head of s0%0¢ · $320 24h15Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of s0%0¢ · $320 24h16Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h17Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h18Hassan Shariatmadari be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h19Ali Motahari be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h20Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h21Massoud Rajavi be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h22Saeed Jalili be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h23Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h24Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h25Mohsen Araki be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h26Nasir Hosseini be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h27Sadegh Mahsouli be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h28Navid Shomali be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h29Mustafa Hijri be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h30Reza Pirzadeh be head of s0%0¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Iran leader end of 2026??
The market currently favors Mojtaba Khamenei be head of s at 87% implied probability (YES trading at 87¢).
How much has been traded on Iran leader end of 2026??
$40.0M has been traded across 30 outcome markets, $13K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

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