Event odds table
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...? — live odds
2 outcomes$76K traded$39K · 24hresolves by August 31, 2026
The market's call
December 22%
implied probability (22¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...??
- The market currently favors "Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?" at 22% implied probability (YES trading at 22¢).
- How much has been traded on Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...??
- $76K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $39K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.
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