Which outcome is favored for Israel military action against Lebanon on...??

The market currently favors 26 at 79% implied probability (YES trading at 79¢).

How much has been traded on Israel military action against Lebanon on...??

$188K has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $585 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 15, 2026.

Event odds table

Israel military action against Lebanon on...? — live odds

10 outcomes$188K traded$585 · 24hresolves by September 15, 2026

Live Israel military action against Lebanon on...? odds: 26 leads the field at 79% implied probability, ahead of 29 (71%). All 10 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $188K traded ($585 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 15, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

26 79%

implied probability (79¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 10

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Israel military action against Lebanon on...??: The market currently favors 26 at 79% implied probability (YES trading at 79¢).
How much has been traded on Israel military action against Lebanon on...??: $188K has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $585 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 15, 2026.

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