Which outcome is favored for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...??

The market currently favors September 30 at 83% implied probability (YES trading at 83¢).

How much has been traded on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...??

$1.9M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $148K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026.

Event odds table

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — live odds

4 outcomes$1.9M traded$148K · 24hresolves by September 30, 2026

Live Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? odds: September 30 leads the field at 83% implied probability, ahead of October 31 (73%) and November 30 (69%). All 4 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.9M traded ($148K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 30, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

September 30 83%

implied probability (83¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 4

Full market details →

1September 30

83%83¢ · $103K 24h 2October 31

73%73¢ · $31K 24h 3November 30

69%69¢ · $380 24h 4December 31

63%63¢ · $15K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...??: The market currently favors September 30 at 83% implied probability (YES trading at 83¢).
How much has been traded on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...??: $1.9M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $148K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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