Which outcome is favored for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...??

The market currently favors Decem at 7% implied probability (YES trading at 7¢).

How much has been traded on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...??

$1.2M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $119K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$1.2M traded$119K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026

Live Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? odds: Decem leads the field at 7% implied probability, ahead of Octo (2%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.2M traded ($119K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Decem 7%

implied probability (7¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1Decem

7%7¢ · $23K 24h 2Octo

2%2¢ · $96K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...??: The market currently favors Decem at 7% implied probability (YES trading at 7¢).
How much has been traded on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...??: $1.2M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $119K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

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