Event odds table
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? — live odds
12 outcomes$6.6M traded$16K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
Live Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? odds: SpaceX leads the field at 62% implied probability, ahead of Anthropic (34%). All 12 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $6.6M traded ($16K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
SpaceX 62%
implied probability (62¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 12
1SpaceX
62%62¢ · $3K 24h2Anthropic
34%33¢ · $9K 24h3OpenAI
0%0¢ · $2K 24h4Kraken
0%0¢ · — 24h5Revolut
0%0¢ · $1K 24h6SHEIN
0%0¢ · — 24h7Databricks
0%0¢ · $125 24h8Waymo
0%0¢ · — 24h9ByteDance
0%0¢ · $1K 24h10Discord
0%0¢ · — 24h11Stripe
0%0¢ · — 24h12Perplexity AI
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Largest IPO by market cap in 2026??
- The market currently favors SpaceX at 62% implied probability (YES trading at 62¢).
- How much has been traded on Largest IPO by market cap in 2026??
- $6.6M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $16K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
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