Event odds table
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? — live odds
12 outcomes$5.8M traded$11K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
Live Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? odds: Anthropic leads the field at 59% implied probability, ahead of SpaceX (38%) and OpenAI (2%). All 12 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $5.8M traded ($11K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Anthropic 59%
implied probability (59¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 12
1Anthropic
59%59¢ · $2K 24h2SpaceX
38%38¢ · $668 24h3OpenAI
2%2¢ · $8K 24h4Kraken
0%0¢ · — 24h5Revolut
0%0¢ · $242 24h6Databricks
0%0¢ · $25 24h7SHEIN
0%0¢ · — 24h8Waymo
0%0¢ · — 24h9ByteDance
0%0¢ · — 24h10Discord
0%0¢ · — 24h11Stripe
0%0¢ · — 24h12Perplexity AI
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Largest IPO by market cap in 2026??
- The market currently favors Anthropic at 59% implied probability (YES trading at 59¢).
- How much has been traded on Largest IPO by market cap in 2026??
- $5.8M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $11K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
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