Science Prediction Markets

Science Prediction Markets

200 markets$577K · 24h on this page

Live science prediction market odds — launches, discoveries, and research milestones as probabilities.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$18.6M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

7%

YES 7¢ · NO 93¢$6.5M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Human moon landing in 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 99¢$2.0M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

36%

YES 36¢ · NO 64¢$1.4M
Scienceresolves Jan 2, 2027

New pandemic in 2026?

4%

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$1.2M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$1.1M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

64%

YES 64¢ · NO 37¢$1.0M
Scienceresolves Jan 2, 2027

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$903K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$833K
Scienceresolves Feb 1, 2027

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$784K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

81%

YES 81¢ · NO 20¢$718K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$667K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$659K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$636K
Scienceresolves Jan 2, 2027

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$628K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$605K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 98¢$595K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$583K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$555K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$534K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

32%

YES 32¢ · NO 69¢$501K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Plague pandemic in 2026?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$492K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

20%

YES 20¢ · NO 81¢$472K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

18%

YES 18¢ · NO 83¢$421K
Scienceresolves Jan 8, 2027

Today in Science Prediction Markets

Most active todayPlague pandemic in 2026?1¢ · $77K · 24hResolving nextWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?— · resolves October 18, 2026Biggest marketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?1¢ · $18.6M all-time

Science Prediction Markets — common questions

What is the most active science prediction markets market right now?
"Plague pandemic in 2026?" leads today's trading with $77K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 1¢ (1% implied probability).
How much is traded on science prediction markets?
The 200 markets tracked here traded $577K in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?", has $18.6M in lifetime volume.
How do these odds work?
Each price is a probability: a market trading at 1¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 1% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.