What is the most active science prediction markets market right now?

"Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?" leads today's trading with $108K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 4¢ (4% implied probability).

How much is traded on science prediction markets?

The 200 markets tracked here traded $1.2M in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?", has $17.0M in lifetime volume.

How do these odds work?

Each price is a probability: a market trading at 4¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 4% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.

Science Prediction Markets — Live Prediction Markets

Science Prediction Markets

200 markets$1.2M · 24h on this page

Live science prediction market odds — launches, discoveries, and research milestones as probabilities.

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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$17.0M

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

YES 6¢ · NO 94¢$6.5M

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Human moon landing in 2026?

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$2.0M

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

New pandemic in 2026?

YES 7¢ · NO 94¢$911K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

10%

YES 10¢ · NO 90¢$851K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$786K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$727K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

YES 4¢ · NO 97¢$666K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

14%

YES 14¢ · NO 86¢$658K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$650K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$627K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

YES 8¢ · NO 92¢$576K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$561K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$557K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

39%

YES 39¢ · NO 61¢$534K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

83%

YES 83¢ · NO 17¢$533K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$509K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

72%

YES 72¢ · NO 29¢$498K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$481K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$481K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$443K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

17%

YES 17¢ · NO 83¢$413K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

58%

YES 57¢ · NO 43¢$372K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

YES 5¢ · NO 96¢$348K

Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Today in Science Prediction Markets

Most active todayHantavirus pandemic in 2026?4¢ · $108K · 24h Resolving nextWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21?0¢ · resolves July 21, 2026 Biggest marketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?4¢ · $17.0M all-time

Science Prediction Markets — common questions

What is the most active science prediction markets market right now?: "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?" leads today's trading with $108K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 4¢ (4% implied probability).
How much is traded on science prediction markets?: The 200 markets tracked here traded $1.2M in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?", has $17.0M in lifetime volume.
How do these odds work?: Each price is a probability: a market trading at 4¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 4% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.