Science Prediction Markets

Science Prediction Markets

200 markets$527K · 24h on this page

Live science prediction market odds — launches, discoveries, and research milestones as probabilities.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$18.0M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

5%

YES 5¢ · NO 95¢$6.5M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Human moon landing in 2026?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$2.0M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

57%

YES 57¢ · NO 43¢$1.1M
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

New pandemic in 2026?

6%

YES 6¢ · NO 94¢$1.1M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

4%

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$936K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

42%

YES 42¢ · NO 58¢$848K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$828K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$815K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

4%

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$719K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$657K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$634K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$615K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

78%

YES 78¢ · NO 22¢$591K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$584K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$580K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 99¢$539K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$538K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$524K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$505K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

59%

YES 59¢ · NO 41¢$500K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

11%

YES 11¢ · NO 89¢$417K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

19%

YES 19¢ · NO 81¢$405K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$356K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Today in Science Prediction Markets

Most active todayWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?57¢ · $111K · 24hResolving nextWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 5?— · resolves September 5, 2026Biggest marketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?3¢ · $18.0M all-time

Science Prediction Markets — common questions

What is the most active science prediction markets market right now?
"Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?" leads today's trading with $111K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 57¢ (57% implied probability).
How much is traded on science prediction markets?
The 200 markets tracked here traded $527K in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?", has $18.0M in lifetime volume.
How do these odds work?
Each price is a probability: a market trading at 57¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 57% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.