Event odds table

Maduro Prison Time? — live odds
5 outcomes$1.1M traded$9K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2027
Live Maduro Prison Time? odds: no prison time leads the field at 58% implied probability, ahead of at least 60 years in prison (24%) and between 40 and 60 years in prison (11%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.1M traded ($9K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
no prison time 58%
implied probability (58¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1no prison time
58%58¢ · $4K 24h2at least 60 years in prison
24%24¢ · $1K 24h3between 40 and 60 years in prison
11%11¢ · $472 24h4less than 20 years in prison
5%5¢ · $3K 24h5between 20 and 40 years in prison
1%1¢ · $610 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Maduro Prison Time??
- The market currently favors no prison time at 58% implied probability (YES trading at 58¢).
- How much has been traded on Maduro Prison Time??
- $1.1M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $9K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2027.