Event odds table

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — live odds
10 outcomes$7.5M traded$815 · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027
Live Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 600 (46% implied), with all 10 thresholds ranked below by probability and $7.5M traded, resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's 50/50 line
600 46%
implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 10 levels
1475
100%100¢ · — 24h2500
98%98¢ · — 24h3450
95%95¢ · — 24h4600
46%46¢ · $440 24h5750
26%26¢ · $327 24h61000
7%7¢ · — 24h71250
6%6¢ · — 24h8650
—— · $48 24h9550
—— · — 24h10700
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??
- This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 600 (46% implied). All 10 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
- How much has been traded on Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??
- $7.5M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $815 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.