Event odds table

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — live odds
7 outcomes$7.6M traded$5K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027
Live Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 50 (48% implied), with all 7 thresholds ranked below by probability and $7.6M traded, resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's 50/50 line
50 48%
implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 7 levels
130
99%99¢ · $246 24h240
94%94¢ · $1K 24h335
92%92¢ · — 24h450
48%48¢ · $342 24h575
9%9¢ · $1K 24h6125
6%6¢ · $654 24h7100
5%5¢ · $544 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??
- This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 50 (48% implied). All 7 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
- How much has been traded on Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??
- $7.6M has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $5K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.