Which outcome is favored for New Zealand legislative election winner??

The market currently favors National Party at 98% implied probability (YES trading at 98¢).

How much has been traded on New Zealand legislative election winner??

$776K has been traded across 6 outcome markets, $509K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 8, 2026.

Event odds table

New Zealand legislative election winner? — live odds

6 outcomes$776K traded$509K · 24hresolves by November 8, 2026

Live New Zealand legislative election winner? odds: National Party leads the field at 98% implied probability, ahead of New Zealand First Party (53%) and ACT New Zealand (8%). All 6 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $776K traded ($509K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 8, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

National Party 98%

implied probability (98¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 6

Full market details →

1National Party

98%98¢ · $302K 24h 2New Zealand First Party

53%53¢ · — 24h 3ACT New Zealand

8%8¢ · — 24h 4Te Pāti Māori

3%3¢ · — 24h 5Labour Party

3%3¢ · $207K 24h 6Green Party

0%0¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for New Zealand legislative election winner??: The market currently favors National Party at 98% implied probability (YES trading at 98¢).
How much has been traded on New Zealand legislative election winner??: $776K has been traded across 6 outcome markets, $509K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 8, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 6 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.