Which outcome is favored for Next leader out of power before 2027??

The market currently favors Will no listed leader be out before 2027? at 47% implied probability (YES trading at 47¢).

How much has been traded on Next leader out of power before 2027??

$1.6M has been traded across 22 outcome markets, $12K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

Next leader out of power before 2027? — live odds

22 outcomes$1.6M traded$12K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live Next leader out of power before 2027? odds: Will no listed leader be out before 2027? leads the field at 47% implied probability, ahead of Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? (33%) and Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? (7%). All 22 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($12K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Will no listed leader be out before 2027? 47%

implied probability (47¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 22

Full market details →

1Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

47%47¢ · $44 24h 2Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

33%33¢ · $135 24h 3Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

7%7¢ · $131 24h 4Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

4%4¢ · $147 24h 5Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

3%2¢ · $484 24h 6Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

2%2¢ · $2K 24h 7Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

1%1¢ · $781 24h 8Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?

1%1¢ · $789 24h 9Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?

1%1¢ · $1K 24h 10Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

1%1¢ · $91 24h 11Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?

1%1¢ · $4K 24h 12Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

1%1¢ · $147 24h 13Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

1%1¢ · $417 24h 14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

1%1¢ · $187 24h 15Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

0%0¢ · $47 24h 16Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?

0%0¢ · $223 24h 17Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?

0%0¢ · $43 24h 18Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

0%0¢ · $180 24h 19Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?

0%0¢ · $104 24h 20Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

0%0¢ · $439 24h 21Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?

0%0¢ · $483 24h 22Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?

0%0¢ · $585 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Next leader out of power before 2027??: The market currently favors Will no listed leader be out before 2027? at 47% implied probability (YES trading at 47¢).
How much has been traded on Next leader out of power before 2027??: $1.6M has been traded across 22 outcome markets, $12K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 22 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.