Event odds table
Next Prime Minister of Spain? — live odds
16 outcomes$1.8M traded$33K · 24hresolves by March 31, 2028
Live Next Prime Minister of Spain? odds: María Jesús Montero leads the field at 97% implied probability, ahead of Alberto Núñez Feijóo (80%) and Pedro Sánchez (15%). All 16 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.8M traded ($33K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by March 31, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
María Jesús Montero 97%
implied probability (97¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 16
1María Jesús Montero
97%97¢ · — 24h2Alberto Núñez Feijóo
80%80¢ · $2K 24h3Pedro Sánchez
15%15¢ · $6K 24h4Pepa Millán
12%12¢ · — 24h5Carles Puigdemont
12%12¢ · — 24h6Santiago Abascal
2%2¢ · $8K 24h7Carlos Cuerpo
2%1¢ · $13K 24h8Isabel Díaz Ayuso
1%1¢ · $3K 24h9Yolanda Díaz
0%0¢ · $544 24h10Óscar Puente
0%0¢ · $1K 24h11Miguel Tellado
—— · — 24h12Ester Muñoz
—— · — 24h13Cuca Gamarra
—— · — 24h14Borja Sémper
—— · — 24h15Ernest Urtasun
—— · — 24h16Aitor Esteban
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Next Prime Minister of Spain??
- The market currently favors María Jesús Montero at 97% implied probability (YES trading at 97¢).
- How much has been traded on Next Prime Minister of Spain??
- $1.8M has been traded across 16 outcome markets, $33K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by March 31, 2028.
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