Which outcome is favored for Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...??

The market currently favors March 31, 2027 at 60% implied probability (YES trading at 60¢).

How much has been traded on Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...??

$1.2M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $43K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026.

Event odds table

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? — live odds

4 outcomes$1.2M traded$43K · 24hresolves by September 30, 2026

Live Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? odds: March 31, 2027 leads the field at 60% implied probability, ahead of December 31, 2026 (42%) and September 30, 2026 (9%). All 4 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.2M traded ($43K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 30, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

March 31, 2027 60%

implied probability (60¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 4

Full market details →

1March 31, 2027

60%60¢ · $3K 24h 2December 31, 2026

42%42¢ · $7K 24h 3September 30, 2026

9%9¢ · $28K 24h 4October 31, 2026

—— · $5K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...??: The market currently favors March 31, 2027 at 60% implied probability (YES trading at 60¢).
How much has been traded on Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...??: $1.2M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $43K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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