Event odds table
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — live odds
20 outcomes$23.7M traded$41K · 24hresolves by October 10, 2026
Live Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 odds: Yulia Navalnaya leads the field at 8% implied probability, ahead of UNRWA (5%) and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (4%). All 20 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $23.7M traded ($41K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 10, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Yulia Navalnaya 8%
implied probability (8¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 20
1Yulia Navalnaya
8%8¢ · $2K 24h2UNRWA
5%5¢ · $443 24h3Volodymyr Zelenskyy
4%4¢ · $3K 24h4the International Court of Justice
4%3¢ · $159 24h5Pope Leo XIV
3%3¢ · $53 24h6Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
2%2¢ · $1K 24h7Donald Trump
2%2¢ · $16K 24h8Greta Thunberg
1%1¢ · $67 24h9Narendra Modi
1%1¢ · $2K 24h10Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%1¢ · $94 24h11Julian Assange
1%1¢ · $656 24h12António Guterres
1%1¢ · $785 24h13Xi Jinping
1%1¢ · $205 24h14Benjamin Netanyahu
0%0¢ · $322 24h15Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
0%0¢ · $335 24h16Khaled Mashal
0%0¢ · $723 24h17Charlie Kirk
0%0¢ · $11K 24h18Mohammed bin Salman
0%0¢ · $723 24h19Elon Musk
0%0¢ · $869 24h20Vladimir Putin
0%0¢ · $667 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026?
- The market currently favors Yulia Navalnaya at 8% implied probability (YES trading at 8¢).
- How much has been traded on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026?
- $23.7M has been traded across 20 outcome markets, $41K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 10, 2026.
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