Which outcome is favored for OpenAI’s Astra released by…??

The market currently favors August 31 at 17% implied probability (YES trading at 17¢).

How much has been traded on OpenAI’s Astra released by…??

$165K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $7K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026.

Event odds table

OpenAI’s Astra released by…? — live odds

5 outcomes$165K traded$7K · 24hresolves by August 15, 2026

Live OpenAI’s Astra released by…? odds: August 31 leads the field at 17% implied probability, ahead of August 15 (1%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $165K traded ($7K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 15, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

August 31 17%

implied probability (17¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1August 31

17%17¢ · $1K 24h 2August 15

1%1¢ · $2K 24h 3September 30

—— · $2K 24h 4September 15

—— · $91 24h 5October 31

—— · $2K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for OpenAI’s Astra released by…??: The market currently favors August 31 at 17% implied probability (YES trading at 17¢).
How much has been traded on OpenAI’s Astra released by…??: $165K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $7K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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