Which outcome is favored for Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...??

The market currently favors December 31 at 29% implied probability (YES trading at 29¢).

How much has been traded on Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...??

$329K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $49K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$329K traded$49K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026

Live Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 29% implied probability, ahead of October 31 (14%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $329K traded ($49K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 29%

implied probability (29¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

1December 31

29%29¢ · $4K 24h 2October 31

14%14¢ · $44K 24h 3November 30

—— · $2K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...??: The market currently favors December 31 at 29% implied probability (YES trading at 29¢).
How much has been traded on Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...??: $329K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $49K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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