Event odds table

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — live odds
11 outcomes$2.9M traded$410 · 24h
Live Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? odds: 47 or fewer leads the field at 27% implied probability, ahead of exactly 49 (14%) and exactly 48 (14%). All 11 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.9M traded ($410 in the last 24 hours). Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
47 or fewer 27%
implied probability (27¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 11
147 or fewer
27%27¢ · $370 24h2exactly 49
14%14¢ · — 24h3exactly 48
14%14¢ · $3 24h4exactly 50
13%13¢ · — 24h5exactly 51
11%11¢ · $0 24h6exactly 52
9%9¢ · $31 24h7exactly 53
5%5¢ · — 24h8exactly 54
4%4¢ · — 24h9exactly 55
2%2¢ · $5 24h10exactly 56
1%1¢ · — 24h1157 or more
1%1¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections??
- The market currently favors 47 or fewer at 27% implied probability (YES trading at 27¢).
- How much has been traded on Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections??
- $2.9M has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $410 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- Resolution dates vary by outcome market.