Which outcome is favored for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...??

The market currently favors June 30, 2027 at 64% implied probability (YES trading at 64¢).

How much has been traded on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...??

$3.8M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $523K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? — live odds

4 outcomes$3.8M traded$523K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026

Live Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? odds: June 30, 2027 leads the field at 64% implied probability, ahead of March 31, 2027 (46%) and December 31, 2026 (34%). All 4 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $3.8M traded ($523K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

June 30, 2027 64%

implied probability (64¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 4

Full market details →

1June 30, 2027

64%64¢ · $25K 24h 2March 31, 2027

46%46¢ · $21K 24h 3December 31, 2026

34%34¢ · $193K 24h 4October 31, 2026

27%27¢ · $285K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...??: The market currently favors June 30, 2027 at 64% implied probability (YES trading at 64¢).
How much has been traded on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...??: $3.8M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $523K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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