Event odds table

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October? — live odds
15 outcomes$85K traded$3K · 24hresolves by October 31, 2026
Live Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October? odds: Anthropic leads the field at 78% implied probability, ahead of Google (17%) and Meta (2%). All 15 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $85K traded ($3K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Anthropic 78%
implied probability (78¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 15
1Anthropic
78%78¢ · $636 24h2Google
17%17¢ · $489 24h3Meta
2%2¢ · $183 24h4OpenAI
—— · $192 24h5Alibaba
—— · $211 24h6Xiaomi
—— · $183 24h7Z.ai
—— · $183 24h8SpaceXAI
—— · $183 24h9Moonshot
—— · $183 24h10Meituan
—— · — 24h11Tencent
—— · $205 24h12ByteDance
—— · $183 24h13DeepSeek
—— · $183 24h14Baidu
—— · $183 24h15Mistral
—— · $12 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October??
- The market currently favors Anthropic at 78% implied probability (YES trading at 78¢).
- How much has been traded on Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October??
- $85K has been traded across 15 outcome markets, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.