Event odds table
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? — live odds
5 outcomes$11.2M traded$321K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026
Live US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? odds: March 31, 2027 leads the field at 60% implied probability, ahead of December 31, 2026 (35%) and November 30, 2026 (23%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $11.2M traded ($321K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
March 31, 2027 60%
implied probability (60¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1March 31, 2027
60%60¢ · $2K 24h2December 31, 2026
35%35¢ · $152K 24h3November 30, 2026
23%23¢ · $15K 24h4October 31, 2026
3%3¢ · $150K 24h5November 15, 2026
—— · $2K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for US announces end of Iranian blockade by...??
- The market currently favors March 31, 2027 at 60% implied probability (YES trading at 60¢).
- How much has been traded on US announces end of Iranian blockade by...??
- $11.2M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $321K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 5 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
