Event odds table
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? — live odds
5 outcomes$8.1M traded$335K · 24hresolves by September 15, 2026
Live US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 64% implied probability, ahead of October 31 (37%) and September 30 (21%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $8.1M traded ($335K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 15, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
December 31 64%
implied probability (64¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1December 31
64%64¢ · $60K 24h2October 31
37%37¢ · $30K 24h3September 30
21%21¢ · $51K 24h4September 21
13%13¢ · $70K 24h5September 14
2%2¢ · $124K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for US announces end of Iranian blockade by...??
- The market currently favors December 31 at 64% implied probability (YES trading at 64¢).
- How much has been traded on US announces end of Iranian blockade by...??
- $8.1M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $335K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 15, 2026.
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