Event odds table
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? — live odds
7 outcomes$1.3M traded$225K · 24hresolves by July 31, 2026
The market's call
August 31 51%
implied probability (51¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 7
1August 31
51%51¢ · $18K 24h2August 15
33%33¢ · $25K 24h3August 7
21%21¢ · $49K 24h4July 31
7%7¢ · $116K 24h5December 31
—— · $7K 24h6September 30
—— · $6K 24h7October 31
—— · $4K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for US announces end of Iranian blockade by...??
- The market currently favors "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?" at 51% implied probability (YES trading at 51¢).
- How much has been traded on US announces end of Iranian blockade by...??
- $1.3M has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $225K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.
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