Which outcome is favored for US imports Russian diesel by...??

The market currently favors November 30 at 70% implied probability (YES trading at 70¢).

How much has been traded on US imports Russian diesel by...??

$446K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $29K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Event odds table

US imports Russian diesel by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$446K traded$29K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026

Live US imports Russian diesel by...? odds: November 30 leads the field at 70% implied probability, ahead of October 31 (4%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $446K traded ($29K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

November 30 70%

implied probability (70¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

1November 30

70%70¢ · $18K 24h 2October 31

4%4¢ · $4K 24h 3December 31

—— · $7K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for US imports Russian diesel by...??: The market currently favors November 30 at 70% implied probability (YES trading at 70¢).
How much has been traded on US imports Russian diesel by...??: $446K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $29K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

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