Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??

The market currently favors December 31 at 13% implied probability (YES trading at 13¢).

How much has been traded on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??

$4.6M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Event odds table

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? — live odds

3 outcomes$4.6M traded$3K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026

Live US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? odds: December 31 leads the field at 13% implied probability, ahead of November 30 (7%) and October 31 (1%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $4.6M traded ($3K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 13%

implied probability (13¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

1December 31

13%13¢ · $1K 24h 2November 30

7%7¢ · — 24h 3October 31

1%1¢ · $2K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??: The market currently favors December 31 at 13% implied probability (YES trading at 13¢).
How much has been traded on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??: $4.6M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

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