Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??

The market currently favors December 31 at 12% implied probability (YES trading at 12¢).

How much has been traded on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??

$4.1M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $43K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Event odds table

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? — live odds

4 outcomes$4.1M traded$43K · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026

Live US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? odds: December 31 leads the field at 12% implied probability, ahead of October 31 (3%) and September 30 (1%). All 4 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $4.1M traded ($43K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 12%

implied probability (12¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 4

Full market details →

1December 31

12%12¢ · $22K 24h 2October 31

3%3¢ · $3K 24h 3September 30

1%1¢ · $18K 24h 4November 30

—— · $9 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??: The market currently favors December 31 at 12% implied probability (YES trading at 12¢).
How much has been traded on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??: $4.1M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $43K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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