Event odds table
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? — live odds
6 outcomes$7.6M traded$68K · 24hresolves by July 31, 2026
1December 31
33%33¢ · $9K 24h2September 30
14%14¢ · $7K 24h3August 31
8%8¢ · $9K 24h4August 18
5%5¢ · $12K 24h5August 13
3%3¢ · $16K 24h6July 31
1%1¢ · $14K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??
- The market currently favors "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?" at 33% implied probability (YES trading at 33¢).
- How much has been traded on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…??
- $7.6M has been traded across 6 outcome markets, $68K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 6 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
