Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...??

The market currently favors October 31 at 13% implied probability (YES trading at 13¢).

How much has been traded on US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...??

$288K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $19K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 16, 2026.

Event odds table

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? — live odds

5 outcomes$288K traded$19K · 24hresolves by October 16, 2026

Live US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? odds: October 31 leads the field at 13% implied probability, ahead of October 15 (2%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $288K traded ($19K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 16, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

October 31 13%

implied probability (13¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1October 31

13%13¢ · $2K 24h 2October 15

2%2¢ · $1K 24h 3December 31

—— · $3K 24h 4November 30

—— · $4K 24h 5November 2

—— · $9K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...??: The market currently favors October 31 at 13% implied probability (YES trading at 13¢).
How much has been traded on US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...??: $288K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $19K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 16, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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