Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...??

The market currently favors 31 at 32% implied probability (YES trading at 32¢).

How much has been traded on US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...??

$275K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $44K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026.

Event odds table

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$275K traded$44K · 24hresolves by August 15, 2026

Live US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? odds: 31 leads the field at 32% implied probability, ahead of 15 (14%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $275K traded ($44K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 15, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

31 32%

implied probability (32¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

131

32%32¢ · $9K 24h 215

14%14¢ · $34K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...??: The market currently favors 31 at 32% implied probability (YES trading at 32¢).
How much has been traded on US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...??: $275K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $44K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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