Which outcome is favored for US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...??

The market currently favors December 31 at 5% implied probability (YES trading at 5¢).

How much has been traded on US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...??

$2.3M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Event odds table

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$2.3M traded$2K · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026

Live US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 5% implied probability, ahead of September 30 (1%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.3M traded ($2K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 5%

implied probability (5¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1December 31

5%5¢ · $2K 24h 2September 30

1%1¢ · $381 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...??: The market currently favors December 31 at 5% implied probability (YES trading at 5¢).
How much has been traded on US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...??: $2.3M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 2 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.