Which outcome is favored for US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...??

The market currently favors October 15 at 99% implied probability (YES trading at 99¢).

How much has been traded on US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...??

$1.2M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $38K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 15, 2026.

Event odds table

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...? — live odds

5 outcomes$1.2M traded$38K · 24hresolves by October 15, 2026

Live US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...? odds: October 15 leads the field at 99% implied probability, ahead of October 31 (91%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.2M traded ($38K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 15, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

October 15 99%

implied probability (99¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1October 15

99%99¢ · $16K 24h 2October 31

91%91¢ · $11K 24h 3November 30

—— · $3K 24h 4October 21

—— · $7K 24h 5October 18

—— · $396 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...??: The market currently favors October 15 at 99% implied probability (YES trading at 99¢).
How much has been traded on US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...??: $1.2M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $38K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 15, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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