Event odds table

Venezuela leader end of 2026? — live odds
16 outcomes$96.0M traded$19K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
Live Venezuela leader end of 2026? odds: Nicolás Maduro be the leader leads the field at 83% implied probability, ahead of Delcy Rodríguez be the leader (11%) and María Corina Machado be the leader (2%). All 16 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $96.0M traded ($19K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Nicolás Maduro be the leader 83%
implied probability (83¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 16
1Nicolás Maduro be the leader
83%83¢ · $6K 24h2Delcy Rodríguez be the leader
11%11¢ · $3K 24h3María Corina Machado be the leader
2%2¢ · $320 24h4there be no head of state
1%1¢ · $605 24h5Edmundo González be the leader
0%0¢ · $1K 24h6Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader
0%0¢ · $549 24h7Jorge Rodríguez be the leader
0%0¢ · $667 24h8Evan Pettus be the leader
0%0¢ · $613 24h9Vladimir Padrino López be the leader
0%0¢ · $2K 24h10Frank Donovan be the leader
0%0¢ · $821 24h11Pete Hegseth be the leader
0%0¢ · $718 24h12Dan Caine be the leader
0%0¢ · $1K 24h13Dinorah Figuera be the leader
0%0¢ · $343 24h14Marco Rubio be the leader
0%0¢ · $281 24h15Donald Trump be the leader
0%0¢ · $696 24h16Richard Grenell be the leader
0%0¢ · $16 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Venezuela leader end of 2026??
- The market currently favors Nicolás Maduro be the leader at 83% implied probability (YES trading at 83¢).
- How much has been traded on Venezuela leader end of 2026??
- $96.0M has been traded across 16 outcome markets, $19K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.