Event odds table
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — live odds
Live What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? odds: Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? leads the field at 16% implied probability, ahead of Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? (14%) and Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? (14%). All 6 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.2M traded ($1K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? 16%
implied probability (16¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 6
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026??
- The market currently favors Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? at 16% implied probability (YES trading at 16¢).
- How much has been traded on What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026??
- $1.2M has been traded across 6 outcome markets, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
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