Which outcome is favored for What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026??

The market currently favors 4.25 at 63% implied probability (YES trading at 63¢).

How much has been traded on What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026??

$7.1M has been traded across 15 outcome markets, $7K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? — live odds

15 outcomes$7.1M traded$7K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? odds: 4.25 leads the field at 63% implied probability, ahead of ≥ 4.5 (21%) and 4.0 (12%). All 15 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $7.1M traded ($7K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

4.25 63%

implied probability (63¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 15

Full market details →

14.25

63%63¢ · $411 24h 2≥ 4.5

21%21¢ · $2K 24h 34.0

12%12¢ · $1K 24h 43.5

0%0¢ · $152 24h 102.0

0%0¢ · $215 24h 112.5

0%0¢ · $32 24h 121.75

0%0¢ · $66 24h 132.25

0%0¢ · $27 24h 142.75

0%0¢ · $32 24h 151.5

0%0¢ · $5 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026??: The market currently favors 4.25 at 63% implied probability (YES trading at 63¢).
How much has been traded on What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026??: $7.1M has been traded across 15 outcome markets, $7K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

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