Event odds table
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? — live odds
15 outcomes$6.7M traded$926 · 24hresolves by December 9, 2026
13.75
31%31¢ · — 24h24.0
28%28¢ · $351 24h33.5
13%13¢ · $92 24h44.25
12%12¢ · — 24h5≥ 4.5
4%4¢ · $213 24h63.25
2%2¢ · — 24h73.0
2%2¢ · — 24h8≤1.0
1%1¢ · $61 24h91.5
1%1¢ · — 24h102.75
1%1¢ · — 24h112.5
1%1¢ · $45 24h121.25
1%1¢ · $43 24h132.25
1%1¢ · — 24h142.0
0%0¢ · $48 24h151.75
0%0¢ · $73 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026??
- The market currently favors "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?" at 31% implied probability (YES trading at 31¢).
- How much has been traded on What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026??
- $6.7M has been traded across 15 outcome markets, $926 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 9, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 15 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
