Event odds table

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? — live odds
15 outcomes$6.8M traded$3K · 24hresolves by December 9, 2026
Live What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? odds: 4.0 leads the field at 39% implied probability, ahead of 3.75 (25%) and 4.25 (19%). All 15 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $6.8M traded ($3K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 9, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
4.0 39%
implied probability (39¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 15
14.0
39%39¢ · $6 24h23.75
25%25¢ · — 24h34.25
19%19¢ · $1 24h43.5
8%8¢ · — 24h5≥ 4.5
5%5¢ · — 24h61.25
1%1¢ · $3K 24h73.25
1%1¢ · — 24h8≤1.0
1%1¢ · $597 24h92.75
1%1¢ · — 24h102.5
1%1¢ · — 24h113.0
0%0¢ · — 24h121.5
0%0¢ · — 24h132.25
0%0¢ · — 24h142.0
0%0¢ · $42 24h151.75
0%0¢ · $30 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026??
- The market currently favors 4.0 at 39% implied probability (YES trading at 39¢).
- How much has been traded on What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026??
- $6.8M has been traded across 15 outcome markets, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 9, 2026.