Event odds table
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — live odds
Live Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? odds: Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? leads the field at 77% implied probability, ahead of Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? (20%) and Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? (2%). All 6 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $3.4M traded ($7K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? 77%
implied probability (77¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 6
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record??
- The market currently favors Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? at 77% implied probability (YES trading at 77¢).
- How much has been traded on Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record??
- $3.4M has been traded across 6 outcome markets, $7K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
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