Event odds table
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? — live odds
Live Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? odds: Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? leads the field at 92% implied probability, ahead of Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? (4%) and Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? (3%). All 19 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $5.5M traded ($17K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? 92%
implied probability (92¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 19
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...??
- The market currently favors Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? at 92% implied probability (YES trading at 92¢).
- How much has been traded on Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...??
- $5.5M has been traded across 19 outcome markets, $17K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 19 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
