Event odds table

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? — live odds
7 outcomes$1.2M traded$5K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027
Live Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? odds: Druzkhivka leads the field at 36% implied probability, ahead of Kramatorsk (9%) and Sloviansk (8%). All 7 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.2M traded ($5K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Druzkhivka 36%
implied probability (36¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 7
1Druzkhivka
36%36¢ · $988 24h2Kramatorsk
9%9¢ · $2K 24h3Sloviansk
8%8¢ · — 24h4Kherson
7%7¢ · $58 24h5Sumy
4%4¢ · — 24h6Zaporizhia
3%3¢ · — 24h7Kharkiv
1%1¢ · $2K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Which cities will Russia enter by December 31??
- The market currently favors Druzkhivka at 36% implied probability (YES trading at 36¢).
- How much has been traded on Which cities will Russia enter by December 31??
- $1.2M has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $5K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.