Event odds table
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — live odds
15 outcomes$2.5M traded$35K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
Live Which company has best AI model end of 2026? odds: Anthropic leads the field at 43% implied probability, ahead of Google (42%) and OpenAI (8%). All 15 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.5M traded ($35K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Anthropic 43%
implied probability (43¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 15
1Anthropic
43%43¢ · $3K 24h2Google
42%42¢ · $15K 24h3OpenAI
8%8¢ · $181 24h4Meta
4%4¢ · $10K 24h5xAI
2%2¢ · $48 24h6Alibaba
1%1¢ · — 24h7Moonshot
1%1¢ · — 24h8DeepSeek
0%0¢ · — 24h9Z.ai
0%0¢ · — 24h10Mistral
0%0¢ · $1K 24h11ByteDance
0%0¢ · — 24h12Baidu
0%0¢ · $1K 24h13Microsoft
0%0¢ · $2K 24h14Amazon
0%0¢ · $3K 24h15Meituan
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Which company has best AI model end of 2026??
- The market currently favors Anthropic at 43% implied probability (YES trading at 43¢).
- How much has been traded on Which company has best AI model end of 2026??
- $2.5M has been traded across 15 outcome markets, $35K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
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