Event odds table

Which company has best AI model end of August? — live odds
21 outcomes$844K traded$194K · 24hresolves by August 31, 2026
Live Which company has best AI model end of August? odds: Anthropic leads the field at 95% implied probability, ahead of Google (4%) and OpenAI (2%). All 21 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $844K traded ($194K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Anthropic 95%
implied probability (95¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 21
1Anthropic
95%95¢ · $28K 24h2Google
4%3¢ · $11K 24h3OpenAI
2%2¢ · $16K 24h4SpaceXAI
0%0¢ · $15K 24h5DeepSeek
0%0¢ · $14K 24h6Moonshot
0%0¢ · $14K 24h7Z.ai
0%0¢ · $29K 24h8Alibaba
0%0¢ · $37K 24h9Meta
0%0¢ · $6K 24h10MiniMax
—— · $2K 24h11Bytedance
—— · $2K 24h12Baidu
—— · $4K 24h13Thinky
—— · — 24h14Microsoft
—— · $1K 24h15Nvidia
—— · $3K 24h16Xiaomi
—— · $4K 24h17Amazon
—— · $4K 24h18StepFun
—— · $1K 24h19Tencent
—— · $1K 24h20Mistral
—— · $1K 24h21Meituan
—— · $1K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Which company has best AI model end of August??
- The market currently favors "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?" at 95% implied probability (YES trading at 95¢).
- How much has been traded on Which company has best AI model end of August??
- $844K has been traded across 21 outcome markets, $194K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.