Event odds table

Which company has the best AI model end of October? — live odds
18 outcomes$234K traded$4K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026
Live Which company has the best AI model end of October? odds: Anthropic leads the field at 70% implied probability, ahead of OpenAI (14%) and Google (6%). All 18 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $234K traded ($4K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Anthropic 70%
implied probability (70¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 18
1Anthropic
70%70¢ · $3K 24h2OpenAI
14%14¢ · $1 24h3Google
6%6¢ · $167 24h4Meta
—— · $1 24h5Z.ai
—— · $82 24h6DeepSeek
—— · $1 24h7SpaceXAI
—— · $41 24h8Moonshot
—— · $1 24h9Alibaba
—— · $80 24h10ByteDance
—— · $527 24h11Baidu
—— · — 24h12Nvidia
—— · — 24h13Meituan
—— · — 24h14Amazon
—— · — 24h15Mistral
—— · — 24h16Xiaomi
—— · — 24h17Microsoft
—— · — 24h18MiniMax
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Which company has the best AI model end of October??
- The market currently favors Anthropic at 70% implied probability (YES trading at 70¢).
- How much has been traded on Which company has the best AI model end of October??
- $234K has been traded across 18 outcome markets, $4K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.