Event odds table
Which company has the best AI model end of September? — live odds
21 outcomes$1.5M traded$385K · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026
Live Which company has the best AI model end of September? odds: Anthropic leads the field at 75% implied probability, ahead of OpenAI (22%) and Google (2%). All 21 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.5M traded ($385K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Anthropic 75%
implied probability (75¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 21
1Anthropic
75%75¢ · $99K 24h2OpenAI
22%22¢ · $104K 24h3Google
2%2¢ · $27K 24h4Meta
1%1¢ · $50K 24h5SpaceXAI
0%0¢ · $27K 24h6Alibaba
0%0¢ · $30K 24h7Z.ai
0%0¢ · $23K 24h8DeepSeek
0%0¢ · $8K 24h9Moonshot
0%0¢ · $17K 24h10ByteDance
0%0¢ · $15 24h11Microsoft
0%0¢ · — 24h12Baidu
0%0¢ · — 24h13Xiaomi
0%0¢ · — 24h14MiniMax
—— · — 24h15Mistral
—— · — 24h16StepFun
—— · — 24h17Amazon
—— · — 24h18Meituan
—— · — 24h19Nvidia
—— · — 24h20Thinky
—— · — 24h21Tencent
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Which company has the best AI model end of September??
- The market currently favors Anthropic at 75% implied probability (YES trading at 75¢).
- How much has been traded on Which company has the best AI model end of September??
- $1.5M has been traded across 21 outcome markets, $385K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.
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